Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts establish a maximum temperature of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station, anchored by a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm-air advection and maximizes afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has held across successive model runs, producing a narrow 1°C envelope that underpins the market’s 100% implied probability on the 28°C outcome. Historical May climatology in the Kanto region supports such peaks when high pressure dominates, with minimal risk of nocturnal cooling or frontal disruption. The principal factors that could still shift the recorded high remain an unanticipated late forecast adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reference station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$77,607 Vol.
$77,607 Vol.
17 mag 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$77,607 Vol.
$77,607 Vol.
17 mag 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,577 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,354 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$11,134 Vol.
100%
29°C
$10,452 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$9,401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts establish a maximum temperature of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station, anchored by a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm-air advection and maximizes afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has held across successive model runs, producing a narrow 1°C envelope that underpins the market’s 100% implied probability on the 28°C outcome. Historical May climatology in the Kanto region supports such peaks when high pressure dominates, with minimal risk of nocturnal cooling or frontal disruption. The principal factors that could still shift the recorded high remain an unanticipated late forecast adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$77,607Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts establish a maximum temperature of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station, anchored by a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm-air advection and maximizes afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has held across successive model runs, producing a narrow 1°C envelope that underpins the market’s 100% implied probability on the 28°C outcome. Historical May climatology in the Kanto region supports such peaks when high pressure dominates, with minimal risk of nocturnal cooling or frontal disruption. The principal factors that could still shift the recorded high remain an unanticipated late forecast adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,607Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts establish a maximum temperature of 28°C at Tokyo’s official Otemachi station, anchored by a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm-air advection and maximizes afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has held across successive model runs, producing a narrow 1°C envelope that underpins the market’s 100% implied probability on the 28°C outcome. Historical May climatology in the Kanto region supports such peaks when high pressure dominates, with minimal risk of nocturnal cooling or frontal disruption. The principal factors that could still shift the recorded high remain an unanticipated late forecast adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reference station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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