Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend across Toronto on May 17 driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near the 24–26 °C range. This atmospheric setup, marked by warm-air advection and strong solar heating, underpins the market-implied odds that cluster tightly around 25 °C at 36.5 percent and 26 °C at 31.4 percent. Minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak toward 27 °C or hold it at 24 °C, introducing the observed uncertainty among traders. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Pearson Airport throughout the afternoon will clarify the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 17 maggio?
26°C 33.5%
25°C 33%
27°C o superiore 21.6%
24°C 10%
$37,158 Vol.
$37,158 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C o superiore
22%
26°C 33.5%
25°C 33%
27°C o superiore 21.6%
24°C 10%
$37,158 Vol.
$37,158 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C o superiore
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend across Toronto on May 17 driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near the 24–26 °C range. This atmospheric setup, marked by warm-air advection and strong solar heating, underpins the market-implied odds that cluster tightly around 25 °C at 36.5 percent and 26 °C at 31.4 percent. Minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak toward 27 °C or hold it at 24 °C, introducing the observed uncertainty among traders. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Pearson Airport throughout the afternoon will clarify the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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