Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 15 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 15 giugno?
17°C 40%
18°C 38%
19°C 10%
16°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
40%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C o superiore
3%
17°C 40%
18°C 38%
19°C 10%
16°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
10°C o inferiore
$605 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$565 Vol.
1%
15°C
$709 Vol.
1%
16°C
$832 Vol.
9%
17°C
$371 Vol.
40%
18°C
$1,004 Vol.
38%
19°C
$306 Vol.
10%
20°C o superiore
$1,083 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,089Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,089Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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