Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 maggio?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Vol.
$53,840 Vol.
17 mag 2026
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Vol.
$53,840 Vol.
17 mag 2026
8°C o inferiore
$4,661 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,007 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,263 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,921 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,792 Vol.
100%
15°C
$4,620 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,352 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
18°C o superiore
$4,824 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$53,840Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,840Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNOfficial forecasts from MetService New Zealand and supporting ensemble model runs establish a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driving the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with mid-autumn climatology in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation typically limit warming to near the long-term May average high. Resolution depends on the highest official reading at primary stations, with current model consensus showing minimal divergence. A late-day shift to clearer skies or enhanced northerly flow could briefly elevate readings, though such changes remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns and the tight forecast window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti