Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance aligns with historical May averages of 25–29°C for the region, with no major frontal systems or clear-sky anomalies expected to push temperatures outside this narrow band. The market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus among traders monitoring real-time station data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport. Minor shifts could occur if afternoon convection develops earlier than anticipated or if updated model runs revise the thermal profile, though current observations show low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 17 maggio?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,871 Vol.
$53,871 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,871 Vol.
$53,871 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHCurrent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity levels that limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance aligns with historical May averages of 25–29°C for the region, with no major frontal systems or clear-sky anomalies expected to push temperatures outside this narrow band. The market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus among traders monitoring real-time station data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport. Minor shifts could occur if afternoon convection develops earlier than anticipated or if updated model runs revise the thermal profile, though current observations show low likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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