Iran’s refusal to abandon its uranium enrichment program continues to shape trader assessments ahead of the May 31 deadline. Indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, have produced Iranian proposals for temporary limits on enrichment levels around 3.5 percent, possible stockpile transfers, or pauses lasting five to fifteen years, yet Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right and rejects permanent cessation. U.S. demands for longer-term or indefinite restrictions, coupled with IAEA reports of record stockpiles and ongoing site activity, have prevented any public pledge. With two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic breakthrough, the market reflects sustained barriers to an agreement resolving the nuclear impasse.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 31 maggio?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 31 maggio?
Sì
$621,127 Vol.
$621,127 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Sì
$621,127 Vol.
$621,127 Vol.
31 mag 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s refusal to abandon its uranium enrichment program continues to shape trader assessments ahead of the May 31 deadline. Indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, have produced Iranian proposals for temporary limits on enrichment levels around 3.5 percent, possible stockpile transfers, or pauses lasting five to fifteen years, yet Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right and rejects permanent cessation. U.S. demands for longer-term or indefinite restrictions, coupled with IAEA reports of record stockpiles and ongoing site activity, have prevented any public pledge. With two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic breakthrough, the market reflects sustained barriers to an agreement resolving the nuclear impasse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$621,127Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s refusal to abandon its uranium enrichment program continues to shape trader assessments ahead of the May 31 deadline. Indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, have produced Iranian proposals for temporary limits on enrichment levels around 3.5 percent, possible stockpile transfers, or pauses lasting five to fifteen years, yet Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right and rejects permanent cessation. U.S. demands for longer-term or indefinite restrictions, coupled with IAEA reports of record stockpiles and ongoing site activity, have prevented any public pledge. With two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic breakthrough, the market reflects sustained barriers to an agreement resolving the nuclear impasse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$621,127Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s refusal to abandon its uranium enrichment program continues to shape trader assessments ahead of the May 31 deadline. Indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, have produced Iranian proposals for temporary limits on enrichment levels around 3.5 percent, possible stockpile transfers, or pauses lasting five to fifteen years, yet Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right and rejects permanent cessation. U.S. demands for longer-term or indefinite restrictions, coupled with IAEA reports of record stockpiles and ongoing site activity, have prevented any public pledge. With two weeks remaining and no verified diplomatic breakthrough, the market reflects sustained barriers to an agreement resolving the nuclear impasse.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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