Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
28°C o superiore <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 Vol.
$28,410 Vol.
17 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
28°C o superiore <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 Vol.
$28,410 Vol.
17 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,393 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,748 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$2,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$28,410Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,410Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models show a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with May climatology of 24–26°C average lows while reflecting a modest cool anomaly from the prevailing weak monsoon trough. Trader consensus at near-100% for 23°C incorporates confirmed observations through the early morning hours and the narrow range of model outputs. Only an unseasonal surge of cooler maritime air or measurement revision at official stations could shift the recorded low outside this threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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