Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida limited overnight radiative cooling and sustained high humidity, anchoring Miami’s June 13 low at the observed 78 °F minimum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. Light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies aligned with typical mid-June climatology, keeping readings in the upper 70s to low 80s range with no frontal passages or clear-sky conditions to enhance cooling. Traders assigned 100 % implied probability to the 78-79 °F band once model consensus and official guidance confirmed this outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around historical normals. A realistic challenge would have required an unexpected dry-air intrusion or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies, neither of which materialized in the final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 13 giugno?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F o inferiore <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$16,904 Vol.
$16,904 Vol.
69°F o inferiore
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sì
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o superiore
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F o inferiore <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$16,904 Vol.
$16,904 Vol.
69°F o inferiore
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sì
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida limited overnight radiative cooling and sustained high humidity, anchoring Miami’s June 13 low at the observed 78 °F minimum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. Light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies aligned with typical mid-June climatology, keeping readings in the upper 70s to low 80s range with no frontal passages or clear-sky conditions to enhance cooling. Traders assigned 100 % implied probability to the 78-79 °F band once model consensus and official guidance confirmed this outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around historical normals. A realistic challenge would have required an unexpected dry-air intrusion or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies, neither of which materialized in the final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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