Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in the low 80s for Miami on June 14, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with elevated dew points near 75°F, light southeast winds, and partial cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Historical June climatology at Miami International Airport shows average lows around 76°F, but persistent warm, moist air masses this season have kept recent minima higher, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F bin. A clear-sky night with stronger boundary-layer decoupling or an unexpected northerly wind shift could allow readings to dip into the upper 70s, though such shifts remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 14 giugno?
80-81°F 91%
78-79°F 9%
76-77°F 3.5%
74-75°F <1%
$5,239 Vol.
$5,239 Vol.
67°F o inferiore
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
91%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
80-81°F 91%
78-79°F 9%
76-77°F 3.5%
74-75°F <1%
$5,239 Vol.
$5,239 Vol.
67°F o inferiore
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
91%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in the low 80s for Miami on June 14, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with elevated dew points near 75°F, light southeast winds, and partial cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Historical June climatology at Miami International Airport shows average lows around 76°F, but persistent warm, moist air masses this season have kept recent minima higher, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F bin. A clear-sky night with stronger boundary-layer decoupling or an unexpected northerly wind shift could allow readings to dip into the upper 70s, though such shifts remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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