Recent U.S.-Iran talks have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, lift sanctions, and open the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear limits. However, core disagreements persist over Iran’s uranium enrichment moratorium, its existing near-weapons-grade stockpile, and verification mechanisms. Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to the curbs Washington seeks, and prior rounds since February 2026 yielded no breakthroughs amid mutual distrust. With the June 30 deadline approaching, these unresolved issues on Iran’s nuclear program and related security demands have kept trader consensus on a completed agreement low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAccordo nucleare USA-Iran entro il 30 giugno?
Accordo nucleare USA-Iran entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$1,859,528 Vol.
$1,859,528 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$1,859,528 Vol.
$1,859,528 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-Iran talks have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, lift sanctions, and open the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear limits. However, core disagreements persist over Iran’s uranium enrichment moratorium, its existing near-weapons-grade stockpile, and verification mechanisms. Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to the curbs Washington seeks, and prior rounds since February 2026 yielded no breakthroughs amid mutual distrust. With the June 30 deadline approaching, these unresolved issues on Iran’s nuclear program and related security demands have kept trader consensus on a completed agreement low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercato aperto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,859,528Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-Iran talks have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, lift sanctions, and open the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear limits. However, core disagreements persist over Iran’s uranium enrichment moratorium, its existing near-weapons-grade stockpile, and verification mechanisms. Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to the curbs Washington seeks, and prior rounds since February 2026 yielded no breakthroughs amid mutual distrust. With the June 30 deadline approaching, these unresolved issues on Iran’s nuclear program and related security demands have kept trader consensus on a completed agreement low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$1,860,556Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran talks have centered on a proposed one-page memorandum to end hostilities, lift sanctions, and open the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear limits. However, core disagreements persist over Iran’s uranium enrichment moratorium, its existing near-weapons-grade stockpile, and verification mechanisms. Iranian officials continue reviewing the framework without committing to the curbs Washington seeks, and prior rounds since February 2026 yielded no breakthroughs amid mutual distrust. With the June 30 deadline approaching, these unresolved issues on Iran’s nuclear program and related security demands have kept trader consensus on a completed agreement low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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