Recent diplomatic momentum between the United States and Iran centers on Pakistan-mediated talks that concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, 2026, following a conditional ceasefire and involving senior U.S. envoys including Vice President JD Vance. Iran reviewed a U.S. peace proposal in early May that addresses reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with a formal response submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10. Negotiations remain stalled as of mid-May amid unresolved verification issues and demands from both sides, though officials continue indirect contacts and have not ruled out follow-up sessions before the June 30 resolution window. These developments shape trader focus on likely participants, such as U.S. administration representatives or Iranian foreign ministry officials, in any upcoming direct or mediated round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,184,805 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
23%
Jared Kushner
37%
Steve Witkoff
40%
$1,184,805 Vol.
Donald Trump
$216,553 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$90,718 Vol.
9%
J.D. Vance
$652,808 Vol.
23%
Jared Kushner
$123,045 Vol.
37%
Steve Witkoff
$101,681 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum between the United States and Iran centers on Pakistan-mediated talks that concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, 2026, following a conditional ceasefire and involving senior U.S. envoys including Vice President JD Vance. Iran reviewed a U.S. peace proposal in early May that addresses reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with a formal response submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10. Negotiations remain stalled as of mid-May amid unresolved verification issues and demands from both sides, though officials continue indirect contacts and have not ruled out follow-up sessions before the June 30 resolution window. These developments shape trader focus on likely participants, such as U.S. administration representatives or Iranian foreign ministry officials, in any upcoming direct or mediated round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$1,184,805Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum between the United States and Iran centers on Pakistan-mediated talks that concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, 2026, following a conditional ceasefire and involving senior U.S. envoys including Vice President JD Vance. Iran reviewed a U.S. peace proposal in early May that addresses reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with a formal response submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10. Negotiations remain stalled as of mid-May amid unresolved verification issues and demands from both sides, though officials continue indirect contacts and have not ruled out follow-up sessions before the June 30 resolution window. These developments shape trader focus on likely participants, such as U.S. administration representatives or Iranian foreign ministry officials, in any upcoming direct or mediated round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,184,805Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum between the United States and Iran centers on Pakistan-mediated talks that concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, 2026, following a conditional ceasefire and involving senior U.S. envoys including Vice President JD Vance. Iran reviewed a U.S. peace proposal in early May that addresses reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with a formal response submitted via Pakistani channels on May 10. Negotiations remain stalled as of mid-May amid unresolved verification issues and demands from both sides, though officials continue indirect contacts and have not ruled out follow-up sessions before the June 30 resolution window. These developments shape trader focus on likely participants, such as U.S. administration representatives or Iranian foreign ministry officials, in any upcoming direct or mediated round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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