Recent national polling ahead of the October 4 first round shows President Lula (PT) leading at 38–42% with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in second at 28–35%, while Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and others remain in single digits. Trader consensus for first place in Amazonas remains tightly clustered because state-level surveys are scarce and the field is highly fragmented, with many low-visibility candidates priced near even odds. National polarization between the Workers’ Party incumbent seeking a fourth term and the Liberal Party challenger backed by the Bolsonaro movement dominates attention, while regional factors such as economic conditions, security, and environmental policy in the North have yet to produce clear separation in Amazonas voter intentions. Scheduled debates and final candidate registrations could shift state dynamics before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日パブロ・マルシャウ 39%
レナン・サントス 39%
ヘルツ・ディアス 38%
ルーラ 38%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
パブロ・マルシャウ
39%
レナン・サントス
39%
ヘルツ・ディアス
38%
ルーラ
38%
サマラ
38%
エドミルソン・コスタ
38%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
38%
ゼマ
38%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
37%
作家アウグスト・クリー
37%
ロナルド・カイアド
36%
クラリアナ・バラオ
36%
ウィルソン・グラッシ獣医師
38%
パブロ・マルシャウ 39%
レナン・サントス 39%
ヘルツ・ディアス 38%
ルーラ 38%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
パブロ・マルシャウ
$0 Vol.
39%
レナン・サントス
$0 Vol.
39%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$0 Vol.
38%
ルーラ
$45 Vol.
38%
サマラ
$0 Vol.
38%
エドミルソン・コスタ
$0 Vol.
38%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$0 Vol.
38%
ゼマ
$0 Vol.
38%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$0 Vol.
37%
作家アウグスト・クリー
$0 Vol.
37%
ロナルド・カイアド
$0 Vol.
36%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$0 Vol.
36%
ウィルソン・グラッシ獣医師
$20 Vol.
38%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polling ahead of the October 4 first round shows President Lula (PT) leading at 38–42% with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in second at 28–35%, while Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and others remain in single digits. Trader consensus for first place in Amazonas remains tightly clustered because state-level surveys are scarce and the field is highly fragmented, with many low-visibility candidates priced near even odds. National polarization between the Workers’ Party incumbent seeking a fourth term and the Liberal Party challenger backed by the Bolsonaro movement dominates attention, while regional factors such as economic conditions, security, and environmental policy in the North have yet to produce clear separation in Amazonas voter intentions. Scheduled debates and final candidate registrations could shift state dynamics before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
音量
$65終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polling ahead of the October 4 first round shows President Lula (PT) leading at 38–42% with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in second at 28–35%, while Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and others remain in single digits. Trader consensus for first place in Amazonas remains tightly clustered because state-level surveys are scarce and the field is highly fragmented, with many low-visibility candidates priced near even odds. National polarization between the Workers’ Party incumbent seeking a fourth term and the Liberal Party challenger backed by the Bolsonaro movement dominates attention, while regional factors such as economic conditions, security, and environmental policy in the North have yet to produce clear separation in Amazonas voter intentions. Scheduled debates and final candidate registrations could shift state dynamics before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$65終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling ahead of the October 4 first round shows President Lula (PT) leading at 38–42% with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in second at 28–35%, while Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and others remain in single digits. Trader consensus for first place in Amazonas remains tightly clustered because state-level surveys are scarce and the field is highly fragmented, with many low-visibility candidates priced near even odds. National polarization between the Workers’ Party incumbent seeking a fourth term and the Liberal Party challenger backed by the Bolsonaro movement dominates attention, while regional factors such as economic conditions, security, and environmental policy in the North have yet to produce clear separation in Amazonas voter intentions. Scheduled debates and final candidate registrations could shift state dynamics before voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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