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icon for CA -04主な受賞者
選挙·プライマリ

CA -04主な受賞者

icon for CA -04主な受賞者
選挙·プライマリ

CA -04主な受賞者

$29,688 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$29,688 Vol.

Polymarket

マイク・トンプソン

$7,192 Vol.

98%

エリック・ジョーンズ

$4,925 Vol.

90%

ヒース・ファルカーソン

$396 Vol.

11%

ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー

$873 Vol.

8%

トレバー・メレル

$9,664 Vol.

7%

ローリー・マッケンジー

$710 Vol.

5%

シャロン・ブラウン

$3,402 Vol.

2%

マンディ・グシャル

$2,525 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, while six Republicans—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, L. John MacKenzie, Raymond Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—along with independent Thomas Roach vie for the second general election advancement spot. In this Solid Democratic district (D+17 Cook PVI), Thompson holds advantages in cash on hand ($2.6 million) and California Democratic Party endorsement, contrasting Jones' higher receipts ($3.2 million) and Our Revolution backing emphasizing progressive policies. Fragmented GOP fundraising limits threats; recent Sacramento Bee voter guide (May 5) and endorsement highlight Thompson's longevity amid Prop 50 redistricting tweaks. Ballots mailed early May, voting centers open May 23.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$29,688
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a competitive primary challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, while six Republicans—Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, Jimih Jones, L. John MacKenzie, Raymond Riehle, and Chuck Uribe—along with independent Thomas Roach vie for the second general election advancement spot. In this Solid Democratic district (D+17 Cook PVI), Thompson holds advantages in cash on hand ($2.6 million) and California Democratic Party endorsement, contrasting Jones' higher receipts ($3.2 million) and Our Revolution backing emphasizing progressive policies. Fragmented GOP fundraising limits threats; recent Sacramento Bee voter guide (May 5) and endorsement highlight Thompson's longevity amid Prop 50 redistricting tweaks. Ballots mailed early May, voting centers open May 23.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$29,688
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CA -04主な受賞者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マイク・トンプソン」で98%、次いで「エリック・ジョーンズ」が90%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「CA -04主な受賞者」は$29.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「CA -04主な受賞者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA -04主な受賞者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マイク・トンプソン」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エリック・ジョーンズ」で90%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA -04主な受賞者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。