Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's dominant position in California's deep-blue 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic Party win. With over $580,000 cash on hand as of late March, Lofgren dwarfs challengers including underfunded Republican Shane Lewis and Democratic primary rival Luis Acevedo-Arreguin ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's D+16 partisan voting index and Lofgren's history of comfortable reelections, like 66% in 2022, signal low risk of upset. Realistic challenges would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issue for Lofgren, or extraordinary Republican turnout in November's general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,688 Vol.
95%
共和党
$18,022 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's dominant position in California's deep-blue 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic Party win. With over $580,000 cash on hand as of late March, Lofgren dwarfs challengers including underfunded Republican Shane Lewis and Democratic primary rival Luis Acevedo-Arreguin ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's D+16 partisan voting index and Lofgren's history of comfortable reelections, like 66% in 2022, signal low risk of upset. Realistic challenges would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issue for Lofgren, or extraordinary Republican turnout in November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$34,710終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's dominant position in California's deep-blue 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic Party win. With over $580,000 cash on hand as of late March, Lofgren dwarfs challengers including underfunded Republican Shane Lewis and Democratic primary rival Luis Acevedo-Arreguin ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's D+16 partisan voting index and Lofgren's history of comfortable reelections, like 66% in 2022, signal low risk of upset. Realistic challenges would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issue for Lofgren, or extraordinary Republican turnout in November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,710終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's dominant position in California's deep-blue 18th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic Party win. With over $580,000 cash on hand as of late March, Lofgren dwarfs challengers including underfunded Republican Shane Lewis and Democratic primary rival Luis Acevedo-Arreguin ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The district's D+16 partisan voting index and Lofgren's history of comfortable reelections, like 66% in 2022, signal low risk of upset. Realistic challenges would require a primary shock, major scandal, health issue for Lofgren, or extraordinary Republican turnout in November's general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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