California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,402 Vol.
$57,402 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$57,402 Vol.
$57,402 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$28,855 Vol.
94%
共和党
$28,547 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$57,402終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,402終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in voter registration advantages and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with prominent name recognition and party backing, alongside a single Republican entrant, which channels the overwhelming share of votes toward Democratic nominees. This structure, combined with the district's historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large shift in turnout or a late primary upset that places a GOP candidate in the top two, neither of which aligns with current registration or fundraising trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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