Recent developments in energy markets and Bank of Canada communications are anchoring trader sentiment for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation. Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices elevated, pushing headline CPI to around 3% in recent months while core measures excluding gasoline remain near 2%. The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% highlighted upside risks to its July Monetary Policy Report forecast of roughly 2.5% average inflation for 2026, driven by sustained gasoline costs and limited but present spillover potential. New U.S. tariffs introduce growth uncertainty with only modest direct price effects so far. These dynamics position the 2.5–2.9% range as the modal outcome in market-implied probabilities, with elevated odds on higher brackets reflecting the fluid energy-price trajectory ahead of the next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.5～2.9％ 41.3%
3.5〜3.9% 22.1%
3.0〜3.4％ 18.1%
2.0〜2.4％ 8.3%
$39,521 Vol.
$39,521 Vol.
2027/01/17
1.0%未満
1%
1.0～1.4％
5%
1.5～1.9％
6%
2.0〜2.4％
8%
2.5～2.9％
41%
3.0〜3.4％
18%
3.5〜3.9%
22%
4.0％以上
7%
2.5～2.9％ 41.3%
3.5〜3.9% 22.1%
3.0〜3.4％ 18.1%
2.0〜2.4％ 8.3%
$39,521 Vol.
$39,521 Vol.
2027/01/17
1.0%未満
$1,167 Vol.
1%
1.0～1.4％
$5,293 Vol.
5%
1.5～1.9％
$3,434 Vol.
6%
2.0〜2.4％
$1,231 Vol.
8%
2.5～2.9％
$10,068 Vol.
41%
3.0〜3.4％
$13,961 Vol.
18%
3.5〜3.9%
$3,858 Vol.
22%
4.0％以上
$509 Vol.
7%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent developments in energy markets and Bank of Canada communications are anchoring trader sentiment for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation. Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices elevated, pushing headline CPI to around 3% in recent months while core measures excluding gasoline remain near 2%. The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% highlighted upside risks to its July Monetary Policy Report forecast of roughly 2.5% average inflation for 2026, driven by sustained gasoline costs and limited but present spillover potential. New U.S. tariffs introduce growth uncertainty with only modest direct price effects so far. These dynamics position the 2.5–2.9% range as the modal outcome in market-implied probabilities, with elevated odds on higher brackets reflecting the fluid energy-price trajectory ahead of the next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
音量
$39,521終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent developments in energy markets and Bank of Canada communications are anchoring trader sentiment for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation. Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices elevated, pushing headline CPI to around 3% in recent months while core measures excluding gasoline remain near 2%. The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% highlighted upside risks to its July Monetary Policy Report forecast of roughly 2.5% average inflation for 2026, driven by sustained gasoline costs and limited but present spillover potential. New U.S. tariffs introduce growth uncertainty with only modest direct price effects so far. These dynamics position the 2.5–2.9% range as the modal outcome in market-implied probabilities, with elevated odds on higher brackets reflecting the fluid energy-price trajectory ahead of the next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
音量
$39,521終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in energy markets and Bank of Canada communications are anchoring trader sentiment for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation. Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have kept oil prices elevated, pushing headline CPI to around 3% in recent months while core measures excluding gasoline remain near 2%. The Bank of Canada’s September 2 decision to hold the policy rate at 2.25% highlighted upside risks to its July Monetary Policy Report forecast of roughly 2.5% average inflation for 2026, driven by sustained gasoline costs and limited but present spillover potential. New U.S. tariffs introduce growth uncertainty with only modest direct price effects so far. These dynamics position the 2.5–2.9% range as the modal outcome in market-implied probabilities, with elevated odds on higher brackets reflecting the fluid energy-price trajectory ahead of the next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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