Ryan Elijah leads the FL-07 Republican primary market at 82% implied probability because recent polling and endorsements from local officials, including Seminole County Sheriff Dennis Lemma and Rep. Mike Haridopolos, have shown him closing or overtaking incumbent Cory Mills in the final weeks. Mills, facing ethics scrutiny and lower fundraising, trails at 16.5% as primary voters weigh his record against challenger momentum ahead of the August 18 vote. Lesser-known candidates Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register minimal market shares, consistent with limited visibility and resources in the four-way contest. The tight timeline leaves little room for late shifts, though undecided voters noted in recent surveys could still influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ライアン・イライジャ 82%
コリー・ミルズ 17%
マイク・ジョンソン <1%
サラ・ウルリッヒ <1%
$44,104 Vol.
$44,104 Vol.
ライアン・イライジャ
82%
コリー・ミルズ
17%
マイク・ジョンソン
<1%
サラ・ウルリッヒ
<1%
ライアン・イライジャ 82%
コリー・ミルズ 17%
マイク・ジョンソン <1%
サラ・ウルリッヒ <1%
$44,104 Vol.
$44,104 Vol.
ライアン・イライジャ
82%
コリー・ミルズ
17%
マイク・ジョンソン
<1%
サラ・ウルリッヒ
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ryan Elijah leads the FL-07 Republican primary market at 82% implied probability because recent polling and endorsements from local officials, including Seminole County Sheriff Dennis Lemma and Rep. Mike Haridopolos, have shown him closing or overtaking incumbent Cory Mills in the final weeks. Mills, facing ethics scrutiny and lower fundraising, trails at 16.5% as primary voters weigh his record against challenger momentum ahead of the August 18 vote. Lesser-known candidates Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register minimal market shares, consistent with limited visibility and resources in the four-way contest. The tight timeline leaves little room for late shifts, though undecided voters noted in recent surveys could still influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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