The crowded Republican primary for Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District remains tightly contested ahead of the August 18 vote, with a recent Victory Insights poll of likely primary voters showing Jorge Martinez, Ben Butler, and Thomas Chalifoux statistically tied near 14% each and Dan Green within the margin of error at 12%, alongside more than 40% undecided. The new map has shifted the seat into a stronger position for GOP challengers seeking to unseat Democratic incumbent Darren Soto, but the large field of candidates with varied backgrounds in farming, military service, education, and business has fragmented support and limited name recognition gains. Recent endorsements and targeted outreach among undecided voters represent the main near-term factors that could consolidate backing and widen the gap among the leaders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ベン・バトラー 31.1%
ダン・グリーン 29%
ホルヘ・マルティネス 23.2%
トーマス・シャリフー 16.9%
$130,448 Vol.
$130,448 Vol.
ベン・バトラー
31%
ダン・グリーン
29%
ホルヘ・マルティネス
23%
トーマス・シャリフー
17%
ジャスティン・ストーリー
<1%
ハワード・スティーブン・ランス
<1%
ホルヘ・マラベット
<1%
マーカス・カーター
<1%
スティーブ・ランス
<1%
ベン・バトラー 31.1%
ダン・グリーン 29%
ホルヘ・マルティネス 23.2%
トーマス・シャリフー 16.9%
$130,448 Vol.
$130,448 Vol.
ベン・バトラー
31%
ダン・グリーン
29%
ホルヘ・マルティネス
23%
トーマス・シャリフー
17%
ジャスティン・ストーリー
<1%
ハワード・スティーブン・ランス
<1%
ホルヘ・マラベット
<1%
マーカス・カーター
<1%
スティーブ・ランス
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The crowded Republican primary for Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District remains tightly contested ahead of the August 18 vote, with a recent Victory Insights poll of likely primary voters showing Jorge Martinez, Ben Butler, and Thomas Chalifoux statistically tied near 14% each and Dan Green within the margin of error at 12%, alongside more than 40% undecided. The new map has shifted the seat into a stronger position for GOP challengers seeking to unseat Democratic incumbent Darren Soto, but the large field of candidates with varied backgrounds in farming, military service, education, and business has fragmented support and limited name recognition gains. Recent endorsements and targeted outreach among undecided voters represent the main near-term factors that could consolidate backing and widen the gap among the leaders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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