Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,569 Vol.
$13,569 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
$13,569 Vol.
$13,569 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,382 Vol.
83%
民主党
$6,187 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$13,569終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,569終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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