Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding position in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District, reflecting his established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and record on issues like affordability and public safety. Redistricting placed him in the new district spanning parts of South Beach to Delray Beach, where his moderate profile and prior service in state and local roles provide structural edges over challenger Oliver Larkin, a DSA-backed progressive union organizer emphasizing Medicare for All and criticizing Moskowitz’s bipartisan votes. Recent internal polling showed a statistical tie in early August, but broader surveys and campaign resources continue to favor the incumbent, consistent with historical patterns for sitting members clearing primaries. The primary’s proximity leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.