Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Ankara's August 5 maximum near 32°C under sunny conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity, consistent with typical midsummer continental patterns where daytime highs average 30–32°C. Model consensus and early observations showing morning temperatures around 16°C climbing steadily support the market's 64% implied probability for 32°C as the peak, with 31°C and 33°C as near-term alternatives. No significant heatwave or frontal systems are indicated in recent updates, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of final daily verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のアンカラの最高気温は?
32°C 62%
31°C 25%
33°C 13%
30°C 1.8%
$21,303 Vol.
$21,303 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
25%
32°C
62%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 25%
33°C 13%
30°C 1.8%
$21,303 Vol.
$21,303 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
25%
32°C
62%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Ankara's August 5 maximum near 32°C under sunny conditions with light northerly winds and low humidity, consistent with typical midsummer continental patterns where daytime highs average 30–32°C. Model consensus and early observations showing morning temperatures around 16°C climbing steadily support the market's 64% implied probability for 32°C as the peak, with 31°C and 33°C as near-term alternatives. No significant heatwave or frontal systems are indicated in recent updates, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of final daily verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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