National Weather Service forecasts and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 66°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport today under sunny skies with light east winds, driving the market-implied 99.7% probability for 56°F or higher. Morning observations confirm an overnight low around 43°F with fair conditions, aligning with climatological normals of 66°F for May 14 and a stable upper-level ridge suppressing clouds or fronts. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific agreement, backed by real capital, as recent 12Z model runs show no shifts toward cooler outcomes. Realistic challenges include persistent lake breeze enhancing marine inversion to cap peaks below 56°F or an unforecast stray shower, though both carry low probability per guidance; hourly updates from NOAA will track developments through afternoon peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.6%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
$49,548 Vol.
$49,548 Vol.
2026/05/14
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.6%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
$49,548 Vol.
$49,548 Vol.
2026/05/14
37°F or below
$6,479 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$2,982 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$701 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$2,150 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,188 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,207 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$4,605 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$19,339 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 66°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport today under sunny skies with light east winds, driving the market-implied 99.7% probability for 56°F or higher. Morning observations confirm an overnight low around 43°F with fair conditions, aligning with climatological normals of 66°F for May 14 and a stable upper-level ridge suppressing clouds or fronts. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific agreement, backed by real capital, as recent 12Z model runs show no shifts toward cooler outcomes. Realistic challenges include persistent lake breeze enhancing marine inversion to cap peaks below 56°F or an unforecast stray shower, though both carry low probability per guidance; hourly updates from NOAA will track developments through afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
音量
$49,548終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 66°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport today under sunny skies with light east winds, driving the market-implied 99.7% probability for 56°F or higher. Morning observations confirm an overnight low around 43°F with fair conditions, aligning with climatological normals of 66°F for May 14 and a stable upper-level ridge suppressing clouds or fronts. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific agreement, backed by real capital, as recent 12Z model runs show no shifts toward cooler outcomes. Realistic challenges include persistent lake breeze enhancing marine inversion to cap peaks below 56°F or an unforecast stray shower, though both carry low probability per guidance; hourly updates from NOAA will track developments through afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$49,548終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service forecasts and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 66°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport today under sunny skies with light east winds, driving the market-implied 99.7% probability for 56°F or higher. Morning observations confirm an overnight low around 43°F with fair conditions, aligning with climatological normals of 66°F for May 14 and a stable upper-level ridge suppressing clouds or fronts. Trader consensus reflects this strong scientific agreement, backed by real capital, as recent 12Z model runs show no shifts toward cooler outcomes. Realistic challenges include persistent lake breeze enhancing marine inversion to cap peaks below 56°F or an unforecast stray shower, though both carry low probability per guidance; hourly updates from NOAA will track developments through afternoon peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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