Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate Qingdao's August highs typically range 29–33°C amid seasonal East Asian monsoon influences, sea breezes, and moderate humidity, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 36°C or higher. This positioning likely reflects trader assessment of potential short-term warming from high-pressure ridges, reduced cloud cover, or urban heat island effects that could push daily maxima above climatological norms for the coastal Shandong city. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with model consensus on steering patterns and any last-minute temperature spikes serving as key variables. Historical August peaks near 35°C provide precedent, though current guidance shows lower baselines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の青島の最高気温は?
36°C以上 62%
35℃ 32%
34℃ 10%
32°C <1%
$22,825 Vol.
$22,825 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
10%
35℃
27%
36°C以上
62%
36°C以上 62%
35℃ 32%
34℃ 10%
32°C <1%
$22,825 Vol.
$22,825 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
10%
35℃
27%
36°C以上
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate Qingdao's August highs typically range 29–33°C amid seasonal East Asian monsoon influences, sea breezes, and moderate humidity, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 36°C or higher. This positioning likely reflects trader assessment of potential short-term warming from high-pressure ridges, reduced cloud cover, or urban heat island effects that could push daily maxima above climatological norms for the coastal Shandong city. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with model consensus on steering patterns and any last-minute temperature spikes serving as key variables. Historical August peaks near 35°C provide precedent, though current guidance shows lower baselines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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