**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
6月14日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
22℃ 98.8%
23°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$35,842 Vol.
$35,842 Vol.
2026/06/14
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C以上
<1%
22℃ 98.8%
23°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$35,842 Vol.
$35,842 Vol.
2026/06/14
17℃以下
$170 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$696 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$16,566 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$2,609 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$5,568 Vol.
99%
23°C
$3,171 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,770 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$1,773 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
27°C以上
$863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$35,842終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35,842終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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