Current forecasts from Environment Canada call for a daytime high near 24–25°C in Toronto on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on peak afternoon temperatures driven by strong solar insolation and modest warm-air advection from the U.S. Midwest, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the narrow spread among 23–27°C buckets. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, so this episode reflects an above-normal warm surge that keeps probabilities balanced until final observational data resolve the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のトロントの最高気温は?
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
27℃以上 23.3%
23°C 14%
$25,191 Vol.
$25,191 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
13%
27℃以上
23%
25°C 28%
24°C 24%
27℃以上 23.3%
23°C 14%
$25,191 Vol.
$25,191 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
13%
27℃以上
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from Environment Canada call for a daytime high near 24–25°C in Toronto on May 17 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on peak afternoon temperatures driven by strong solar insolation and modest warm-air advection from the U.S. Midwest, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the narrow spread among 23–27°C buckets. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, so this episode reflects an above-normal warm surge that keeps probabilities balanced until final observational data resolve the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問