Terri Pickens holds a commanding 97.6% implied probability as the Idaho Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner, driven by her unmatched name recognition from winning the 2022 lieutenant governor nomination unopposed and capturing 30% statewide against a Republican incumbent. With the May 19 open primary five days away and early voting underway, her established campaign infrastructure, legal background, and active outreach on education funding, infrastructure, and civil rights outpace lesser-known challengers Maxine Durand, Chanelle Torrez, and Jill Kirkham, who lack prior statewide experience amid expected low Democratic turnout. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in Idaho's deep-red politics, though late-breaking scandals, a rival endorsement surge, or unexpected voter mobilization could narrow the gap before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日テリー・ピッケンズ 97.6%
マキシーン・デュランド 1.4%
シャネル・トーレス <1%
ジル・カーカム <1%
$83,020 Vol.
$83,020 Vol.
テリー・ピッケンズ
98%
マキシーン・デュランド
1%
シャネル・トーレス
1%
ジル・カーカム
1%
スティーブン・ハイト
<1%
テリー・ピッケンズ 97.6%
マキシーン・デュランド 1.4%
シャネル・トーレス <1%
ジル・カーカム <1%
$83,020 Vol.
$83,020 Vol.
テリー・ピッケンズ
98%
マキシーン・デュランド
1%
シャネル・トーレス
1%
ジル・カーカム
1%
スティーブン・ハイト
<1%
If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Terri Pickens holds a commanding 97.6% implied probability as the Idaho Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner, driven by her unmatched name recognition from winning the 2022 lieutenant governor nomination unopposed and capturing 30% statewide against a Republican incumbent. With the May 19 open primary five days away and early voting underway, her established campaign infrastructure, legal background, and active outreach on education funding, infrastructure, and civil rights outpace lesser-known challengers Maxine Durand, Chanelle Torrez, and Jill Kirkham, who lack prior statewide experience amid expected low Democratic turnout. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in Idaho's deep-red politics, though late-breaking scandals, a rival endorsement surge, or unexpected voter mobilization could narrow the gap before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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