Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks remain stalled over demands for a long-term halt to uranium enrichment, with Washington seeking restrictions up to 20 years and Tehran offering far shorter limits. Recent diplomatic efforts, including April talks in Islamabad and early May signals of a possible framework memo to address the nuclear program alongside the Strait of Hormuz ceasefire, have produced no breakthrough on ending enrichment activities. Iranian officials continue to reject core US conditions while warning of potential escalation to higher enrichment levels, reinforcing trader views that no formal agreement will emerge by the June 30 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
はい
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks remain stalled over demands for a long-term halt to uranium enrichment, with Washington seeking restrictions up to 20 years and Tehran offering far shorter limits. Recent diplomatic efforts, including April talks in Islamabad and early May signals of a possible framework memo to address the nuclear program alongside the Strait of Hormuz ceasefire, have produced no breakthrough on ending enrichment activities. Iranian officials continue to reject core US conditions while warning of potential escalation to higher enrichment levels, reinforcing trader views that no formal agreement will emerge by the June 30 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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