Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity in the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 17, keeping forecast lows clustered around 15–20 °C according to recent model runs. Regional steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon sustain these stable, mild conditions without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational drops that would push temperatures below 15 °C. Model spread arises mainly from differing precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 19 °C and the balanced 32.5 % odds on both sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ extremes. Updated NMC or ECMWF guidance on cloud and rainfall evolution over the next 24 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の成都の最低気温は？
9月17日の成都の最低気温は？
15°C以下 67%
25℃以上 67%
19℃ 32%
17℃ 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15°C以下
67%
16°C
21%
17℃
23%
18℃
23%
19℃
32%
20℃
22%
21℃
20%
22℃
14%
23℃
14%
24℃
14%
25℃以上
67%
15°C以下 67%
25℃以上 67%
19℃ 32%
17℃ 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15°C以下
$0 Vol.
67%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17℃
$0 Vol.
23%
18℃
$49 Vol.
23%
19℃
$0 Vol.
32%
20℃
$0 Vol.
22%
21℃
$0 Vol.
20%
22℃
$0 Vol.
14%
23℃
$0 Vol.
14%
24℃
$0 Vol.
14%
25℃以上
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity in the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 17, keeping forecast lows clustered around 15–20 °C according to recent model runs. Regional steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon sustain these stable, mild conditions without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational drops that would push temperatures below 15 °C. Model spread arises mainly from differing precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 19 °C and the balanced 32.5 % odds on both sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ extremes. Updated NMC or ECMWF guidance on cloud and rainfall evolution over the next 24 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$49終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity in the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 17, keeping forecast lows clustered around 15–20 °C according to recent model runs. Regional steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon sustain these stable, mild conditions without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational drops that would push temperatures below 15 °C. Model spread arises mainly from differing precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 19 °C and the balanced 32.5 % odds on both sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ extremes. Updated NMC or ECMWF guidance on cloud and rainfall evolution over the next 24 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$49終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity in the Sichuan Basin are limiting overnight radiative cooling ahead of September 17, keeping forecast lows clustered around 15–20 °C according to recent model runs. Regional steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon sustain these stable, mild conditions without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational drops that would push temperatures below 15 °C. Model spread arises mainly from differing precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near 19 °C and the balanced 32.5 % odds on both sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ extremes. Updated NMC or ECMWF guidance on cloud and rainfall evolution over the next 24 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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