Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 31 centers on tight uncertainty between 15°C and 16°C, each at 38.5% implied probability, as ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minor spreads in overnight minima driven by variable cloud cover and Atlantic airflow. Late-August conditions typically feature radiative cooling under clear skies or moderation from maritime influences, with urban heat-island effects in London often elevating readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Recent model runs highlight potential shifts from high-pressure persistence versus incoming fronts that could alter minimums by a degree. Historical climatology places average lows near 14–16°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments matter before final Met Office observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月31日のロンドンの最低気温は？
16°C 39%
15°C 39%
13℃ 17%
12°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
10℃以下
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13℃
17%
14°C
13%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
14%
18℃
2%
19°C
2%
20°C以上
14%
16°C 39%
15°C 39%
13℃ 17%
12°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
10℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$30 Vol.
13%
12°C
$30 Vol.
15%
13℃
$30 Vol.
17%
14°C
$32 Vol.
13%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$182 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18℃
$50 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C以上
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 31 centers on tight uncertainty between 15°C and 16°C, each at 38.5% implied probability, as ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minor spreads in overnight minima driven by variable cloud cover and Atlantic airflow. Late-August conditions typically feature radiative cooling under clear skies or moderation from maritime influences, with urban heat-island effects in London often elevating readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Recent model runs highlight potential shifts from high-pressure persistence versus incoming fronts that could alter minimums by a degree. Historical climatology places average lows near 14–16°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments matter before final Met Office observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$354終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 31 centers on tight uncertainty between 15°C and 16°C, each at 38.5% implied probability, as ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minor spreads in overnight minima driven by variable cloud cover and Atlantic airflow. Late-August conditions typically feature radiative cooling under clear skies or moderation from maritime influences, with urban heat-island effects in London often elevating readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Recent model runs highlight potential shifts from high-pressure persistence versus incoming fronts that could alter minimums by a degree. Historical climatology places average lows near 14–16°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments matter before final Met Office observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$354終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader sentiment for London's lowest temperature on August 31 centers on tight uncertainty between 15°C and 16°C, each at 38.5% implied probability, as ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minor spreads in overnight minima driven by variable cloud cover and Atlantic airflow. Late-August conditions typically feature radiative cooling under clear skies or moderation from maritime influences, with urban heat-island effects in London often elevating readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Recent model runs highlight potential shifts from high-pressure persistence versus incoming fronts that could alter minimums by a degree. Historical climatology places average lows near 14–16°C, underscoring why small forecast adjustments matter before final Met Office observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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