Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月13日のマイアミの最低気温は?
5月13日のマイアミの最低気温は?
76〜77°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
74〜75°F <1%
$15,756 Vol.
$15,756 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
はい
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82~83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
76〜77°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
74〜75°F <1%
$15,756 Vol.
$15,756 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
はい
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82~83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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