Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 31 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent high humidity (70–90%), southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer monsoon flow over the East China Sea, have produced minimal day-to-day shifts in model guidance over the past 48 hours, reinforcing trader focus on the 26–28°C range. Historical August minima in Shanghai average around 24–26°C, but elevated dew points near 25°C and lack of clear skies or cold-air advection currently favor the warmer side of climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の上海の最低気温は?
27°C 49%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
25°C 19%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
14%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
10%
27°C 49%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
25°C 19%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
14%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 31 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent high humidity (70–90%), southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of late-summer monsoon flow over the East China Sea, have produced minimal day-to-day shifts in model guidance over the past 48 hours, reinforcing trader focus on the 26–28°C range. Historical August minima in Shanghai average around 24–26°C, but elevated dew points near 25°C and lack of clear skies or cold-air advection currently favor the warmer side of climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問