Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Taipei on August 30 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity near 80–90% and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Light showers or thunderstorms, common in the region, could further moderate the low by trapping heat, while any clearer periods overnight would allow slightly greater drops toward 25°C. The market's closely matched probabilities around 26–28°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band amid stable model consensus, with lower outcomes (below 24°C) improbable absent unusual clear, dry air and the 31°C+ outcome inconsistent with observed trends and climatology for the period. Updated model runs tonight and early observations on the 30th will provide the next key signals for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の台北の最低気温は?
31°C or higher 67%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
29°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
23%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
67%
31°C or higher 67%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
29°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
23%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Taipei on August 30 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity near 80–90% and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Light showers or thunderstorms, common in the region, could further moderate the low by trapping heat, while any clearer periods overnight would allow slightly greater drops toward 25°C. The market's closely matched probabilities around 26–28°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band amid stable model consensus, with lower outcomes (below 24°C) improbable absent unusual clear, dry air and the 31°C+ outcome inconsistent with observed trends and climatology for the period. Updated model runs tonight and early observations on the 30th will provide the next key signals for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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