Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 28 will likely fall between 23–26 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This narrow range sustains balanced market-implied odds near 50 % across bins, as traders weigh ensemble spread in nocturnal boundary-layer temperatures against the Mediterranean's moderating influence and typical August climatology of 24–25 °C lows. Minor shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or sea-breeze timing could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, keeping near-term model updates the key catalyst before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
19°C or below 100%
20°C 100%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
19°C or below
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
100%
19°C or below 100%
20°C 100%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
19°C or below
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 28 will likely fall between 23–26 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This narrow range sustains balanced market-implied odds near 50 % across bins, as traders weigh ensemble spread in nocturnal boundary-layer temperatures against the Mediterranean's moderating influence and typical August climatology of 24–25 °C lows. Minor shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or sea-breeze timing could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, keeping near-term model updates the key catalyst before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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