Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24°C due to persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with official Japan Meteorological Agency normals at 23.9°C. Current forecasts from multiple models align closely on a minimum near this threshold for August 5, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions without strong cooling influences like typhoon remnants or unusual northerly flow. The overwhelming market consensus at 24°C captures this climatological and forecast alignment, while lower outcomes would require an atypical rapid temperature drop not indicated by ensemble guidance. Updated model runs or real-time observations near dawn could still shift the final recorded low within a narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の東京の最低気温は?
24℃ 99.2%
23℃ <1%
22°C <1%
20℃ <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
99%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
24℃ 99.2%
23℃ <1%
22°C <1%
20℃ <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
18℃以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
99%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24°C due to persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with official Japan Meteorological Agency normals at 23.9°C. Current forecasts from multiple models align closely on a minimum near this threshold for August 5, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions without strong cooling influences like typhoon remnants or unusual northerly flow. The overwhelming market consensus at 24°C captures this climatological and forecast alignment, while lower outcomes would require an atypical rapid temperature drop not indicated by ensemble guidance. Updated model runs or real-time observations near dawn could still shift the final recorded low within a narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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