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icon for NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·中間選考

NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·中間選考

NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者

アダム・ハマウィ 75%

ヴァリーナ・レイノルズ＝ジャクソン 10%

スーザン・アルトマン 9%

ブラッド・コーエン 2.1%

Polymarket

$32,745 Vol.

アダム・ハマウィ 75%

ヴァリーナ・レイノルズ＝ジャクソン 10%

スーザン・アルトマン 9%

ブラッド・コーエン 2.1%

Polymarket

$32,745 Vol.

アダム・ハマウィ

$1,659 Vol.

75%

ヴァリーナ・レイノルズ＝ジャクソン

$1,166 Vol.

10%

スーザン・アルトマン

$14,933 Vol.

9%

ブラッド・コーエン

$2,021 Vol.

2%

マシュー・アダムズ

$1,045 Vol.

2%

カイル・リトル

$1,217 Vol.

1%

イライジャ・ディクソン

$1,085 Vol.

1%

テニール・R・マッコイ

$4,875 Vol.

1%

レイモンド・ヘック

$1,335 Vol.

1%

エイドリアン・マップ

$1,046 Vol.

<1%

マイケル・アンダーソン

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 75% implied probability, driven by his campaign's May 11 release of a Workbench Strategy poll (May 5-7) showing him leading a crowded 13-candidate field at 19%, up from 5% a month prior amid a $1 million super PAC ad blitz and strong Q1 fundraising topping $1 million. Bernie Sanders' May 2 endorsement bolstered his progressive appeal as a veteran trauma surgeon with Gaza aid experience. State Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10% in poll, 9.5% market) and activist Susan Altman (12% poll, 8.5% market) trail amid splintered support in the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, with no dominant polling aggregator yet.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$32,745
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 75% implied probability, driven by his campaign's May 11 release of a Workbench Strategy poll (May 5-7) showing him leading a crowded 13-candidate field at 19%, up from 5% a month prior amid a $1 million super PAC ad blitz and strong Q1 fundraising topping $1 million. Bernie Sanders' May 2 endorsement bolstered his progressive appeal as a veteran trauma surgeon with Gaza aid experience. State Assemblymember Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10% in poll, 9.5% market) and activist Susan Altman (12% poll, 8.5% market) trail amid splintered support in the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, with no dominant polling aggregator yet.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$32,745
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アダム・ハマウィ」で75%、次いで「ヴァリーナ・レイノルズ＝ジャクソン」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$32.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アダム・ハマウィ」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヴァリーナ・レイノルズ＝ジャクソン」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NJ -12民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。