Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial market, reflecting consistent leads in multiple recent polls including a late-July CTAS survey showing him at 45.4% stimulated and a mid-August reading with 54.7% of valid votes. His positioning stems from established name recognition, state resources as sitting governor, and a broad coalition ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos trails at 20%, buoyed by prior mayoral success and scattered poll leads in spontaneous or earlier surveys, while Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina register minimal support consistent with sub-10% polling. Official candidacy registrations concluded in mid-August, with campaigning now underway and high undecided shares still allowing for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ファビオ 73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ 21%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス <1%
ドクター・ヘルトン <1%
$10,556 Vol.
$10,556 Vol.
2026/10/04
ファビオ
73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ
21%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス
1%
ドクター・ヘルトン
1%
エマヌエル・カショ
1%
リカルド・マルケス
<1%
ファビオ 73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ 21%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス <1%
ドクター・ヘルトン <1%
$10,556 Vol.
$10,556 Vol.
2026/10/04
ファビオ
$8,202 Vol.
73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ
$844 Vol.
21%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス
$305 Vol.
1%
ドクター・ヘルトン
$430 Vol.
1%
エマヌエル・カショ
$391 Vol.
1%
リカルド・マルケス
$385 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial market, reflecting consistent leads in multiple recent polls including a late-July CTAS survey showing him at 45.4% stimulated and a mid-August reading with 54.7% of valid votes. His positioning stems from established name recognition, state resources as sitting governor, and a broad coalition ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos trails at 20%, buoyed by prior mayoral success and scattered poll leads in spontaneous or earlier surveys, while Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina register minimal support consistent with sub-10% polling. Official candidacy registrations concluded in mid-August, with campaigning now underway and high undecided shares still allowing for shifts.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
音量
$10,556終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial market, reflecting consistent leads in multiple recent polls including a late-July CTAS survey showing him at 45.4% stimulated and a mid-August reading with 54.7% of valid votes. His positioning stems from established name recognition, state resources as sitting governor, and a broad coalition ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos trails at 20%, buoyed by prior mayoral success and scattered poll leads in spontaneous or earlier surveys, while Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina register minimal support consistent with sub-10% polling. Official candidacy registrations concluded in mid-August, with campaigning now underway and high undecided shares still allowing for shifts.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$10,556終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial market, reflecting consistent leads in multiple recent polls including a late-July CTAS survey showing him at 45.4% stimulated and a mid-August reading with 54.7% of valid votes. His positioning stems from established name recognition, state resources as sitting governor, and a broad coalition ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos trails at 20%, buoyed by prior mayoral success and scattered poll leads in spontaneous or earlier surveys, while Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Dr. Helton (PSOL), and Taty Cristina register minimal support consistent with sub-10% polling. Official candidacy registrations concluded in mid-August, with campaigning now underway and high undecided shares still allowing for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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