Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub showing figures near 37–39 percent. Trader positioning around 37.5–38.9 reflects this stability, driven by ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the handling of the Iran conflict, which has contributed to elevated gas prices. Recent surveys from Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Quinnipiac indicate limited movement in these metrics over the past month, with disapproval holding above 55 percent. With only days until September 18, absent major new developments or shifts in foreign policy or economic indicators, current consensus implies the rating is likely to remain within the narrow band reflected in the leading market outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0～38.4 37%
37.5〜37.9 27%
38.5〜38.9 26%
37.0～37.4 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
37.0未満
5%
37.0～37.4
7%
37.5〜37.9
27%
38.0～38.4
37%
38.5〜38.9
26%
39.0以上
6%
38.0～38.4 37%
37.5〜37.9 27%
38.5〜38.9 26%
37.0～37.4 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
37.0未満
$63 Vol.
5%
37.0～37.4
$94 Vol.
7%
37.5〜37.9
$24 Vol.
27%
38.0～38.4
$144 Vol.
37%
38.5〜38.9
$136 Vol.
26%
39.0以上
$129 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub showing figures near 37–39 percent. Trader positioning around 37.5–38.9 reflects this stability, driven by ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the handling of the Iran conflict, which has contributed to elevated gas prices. Recent surveys from Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Quinnipiac indicate limited movement in these metrics over the past month, with disapproval holding above 55 percent. With only days until September 18, absent major new developments or shifts in foreign policy or economic indicators, current consensus implies the rating is likely to remain within the narrow band reflected in the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
音量
$588終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub showing figures near 37–39 percent. Trader positioning around 37.5–38.9 reflects this stability, driven by ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the handling of the Iran conflict, which has contributed to elevated gas prices. Recent surveys from Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Quinnipiac indicate limited movement in these metrics over the past month, with disapproval holding above 55 percent. With only days until September 18, absent major new developments or shifts in foreign policy or economic indicators, current consensus implies the rating is likely to remain within the narrow band reflected in the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$588終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClear Politics, Silver Bulletin, and VoteHub showing figures near 37–39 percent. Trader positioning around 37.5–38.9 reflects this stability, driven by ongoing voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, cost-of-living pressures, and the handling of the Iran conflict, which has contributed to elevated gas prices. Recent surveys from Economist/YouGov, Morning Consult, and Quinnipiac indicate limited movement in these metrics over the past month, with disapproval holding above 55 percent. With only days until September 18, absent major new developments or shifts in foreign policy or economic indicators, current consensus implies the rating is likely to remain within the narrow band reflected in the leading market outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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