President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 to averages of 37-40 percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and economic conditions. Early second-term highs near 47 percent in January 2025 have not been matched, with recent polls showing lows around 33 percent and net approval near -20 or lower. Midterm elections in November 2026 represent a key upcoming catalyst, as legislative outcomes, further diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or shifts in domestic policy could influence polling trends before year-end. Trader sentiment on the peak rating likely reflects the balance between entrenched downward pressures from foreign policy and economic headwinds versus potential for modest rebounds tied to specific events or messaging.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45％
4%
↑ 46％
6%
↑ 47％
11%
↑ 48%
6%
↑ 49％
5%
↑ 50％
8%
$7,511 Vol.
↑ 44%
$3,192 Vol.
6%
↑ 45％
$300 Vol.
4%
↑ 46％
$1,036 Vol.
6%
↑ 47％
$480 Vol.
11%
↑ 48%
$779 Vol.
6%
↑ 49％
$656 Vol.
5%
↑ 50％
$1,067 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 to averages of 37-40 percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and economic conditions. Early second-term highs near 47 percent in January 2025 have not been matched, with recent polls showing lows around 33 percent and net approval near -20 or lower. Midterm elections in November 2026 represent a key upcoming catalyst, as legislative outcomes, further diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or shifts in domestic policy could influence polling trends before year-end. Trader sentiment on the peak rating likely reflects the balance between entrenched downward pressures from foreign policy and economic headwinds versus potential for modest rebounds tied to specific events or messaging.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
マーケット開始日： Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
音量
$7,511終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 to averages of 37-40 percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and economic conditions. Early second-term highs near 47 percent in January 2025 have not been matched, with recent polls showing lows around 33 percent and net approval near -20 or lower. Midterm elections in November 2026 represent a key upcoming catalyst, as legislative outcomes, further diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or shifts in domestic policy could influence polling trends before year-end. Trader sentiment on the peak rating likely reflects the balance between entrenched downward pressures from foreign policy and economic headwinds versus potential for modest rebounds tied to specific events or messaging.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
音量
$7,511終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2026 to averages of 37-40 percent amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that escalated with renewed strikes in mid-July, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, gas prices, and economic conditions. Early second-term highs near 47 percent in January 2025 have not been matched, with recent polls showing lows around 33 percent and net approval near -20 or lower. Midterm elections in November 2026 represent a key upcoming catalyst, as legislative outcomes, further diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or shifts in domestic policy could influence polling trends before year-end. Trader sentiment on the peak rating likely reflects the balance between entrenched downward pressures from foreign policy and economic headwinds versus potential for modest rebounds tied to specific events or messaging.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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