Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary for Illinois's 3rd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods like Logan Square and Belmont Cragin alongside DuPage County suburbs, where she won 67% in 2024 and 69% in 2022 against Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.6% for Democrats reflects the district's reliable Democratic performance, Ramirez's strong incumbency advantage, and the Republican nominee Angel Oakley's unopposed but historically uncompetitive primary path amid weak GOP fundraising and turnout in this 47% Hispanic constituency. Late-breaking scandals, Ramirez health issues, or a massive national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,092 거래량
$36,092 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
$36,092 거래량
$36,092 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,688 거래량
94%
공화당
$21,405 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary for Illinois's 3rd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods like Logan Square and Belmont Cragin alongside DuPage County suburbs, where she won 67% in 2024 and 69% in 2022 against Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.6% for Democrats reflects the district's reliable Democratic performance, Ramirez's strong incumbency advantage, and the Republican nominee Angel Oakley's unopposed but historically uncompetitive primary path amid weak GOP fundraising and turnout in this 47% Hispanic constituency. Late-breaking scandals, Ramirez health issues, or a massive national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$36,092종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary for Illinois's 3rd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods like Logan Square and Belmont Cragin alongside DuPage County suburbs, where she won 67% in 2024 and 69% in 2022 against Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.6% for Democrats reflects the district's reliable Democratic performance, Ramirez's strong incumbency advantage, and the Republican nominee Angel Oakley's unopposed but historically uncompetitive primary path amid weak GOP fundraising and turnout in this 47% Hispanic constituency. Late-breaking scandals, Ramirez health issues, or a massive national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$36,092종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17 primary for Illinois's 3rd Congressional District, a D+17 seat encompassing diverse Chicago neighborhoods like Logan Square and Belmont Cragin alongside DuPage County suburbs, where she won 67% in 2024 and 69% in 2022 against Republican challengers. Trader consensus at 93.6% for Democrats reflects the district's reliable Democratic performance, Ramirez's strong incumbency advantage, and the Republican nominee Angel Oakley's unopposed but historically uncompetitive primary path amid weak GOP fundraising and turnout in this 47% Hispanic constituency. Late-breaking scandals, Ramirez health issues, or a massive national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural barriers favor the incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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