TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,624 거래량
$14,624 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
83%
민주당
17%
$14,624 거래량
$14,624 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,772 거래량
83%
민주당
$8,852 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$14,624종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,624종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문