Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—intercepted by Israeli air defenses without activating sirens—marking their return to direct attacks after a lull, amid resumed ballistic missile barrages on Israel since March 28 following the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. This escalation, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah proxies, threatens Red Sea shipping and southern Israel, prompting trader consensus on potential Israeli retaliation via qualifying drone, missile, or airstrikes on Yemeni soil. Israel has shown restraint post-interceptions, with no confirmed strikes in recent weeks despite vows of response; upcoming Houthi actions or diplomatic signals from Tehran could tip escalation risks before late May deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,727,669 거래량
2026.06.30
5월 31일
10%
6월 30일
22%
$1,727,669 거래량
5월 31일
$112,674 거래량
10%
6월 30일
$461,985 거래량
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—intercepted by Israeli air defenses without activating sirens—marking their return to direct attacks after a lull, amid resumed ballistic missile barrages on Israel since March 28 following the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. This escalation, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah proxies, threatens Red Sea shipping and southern Israel, prompting trader consensus on potential Israeli retaliation via qualifying drone, missile, or airstrikes on Yemeni soil. Israel has shown restraint post-interceptions, with no confirmed strikes in recent weeks despite vows of response; upcoming Houthi actions or diplomatic signals from Tehran could tip escalation risks before late May deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
거래량
$1,727,669종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—intercepted by Israeli air defenses without activating sirens—marking their return to direct attacks after a lull, amid resumed ballistic missile barrages on Israel since March 28 following the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. This escalation, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah proxies, threatens Red Sea shipping and southern Israel, prompting trader consensus on potential Israeli retaliation via qualifying drone, missile, or airstrikes on Yemeni soil. Israel has shown restraint post-interceptions, with no confirmed strikes in recent weeks despite vows of response; upcoming Houthi actions or diplomatic signals from Tehran could tip escalation risks before late May deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,727,669종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—intercepted by Israeli air defenses without activating sirens—marking their return to direct attacks after a lull, amid resumed ballistic missile barrages on Israel since March 28 following the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. This escalation, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah proxies, threatens Red Sea shipping and southern Israel, prompting trader consensus on potential Israeli retaliation via qualifying drone, missile, or airstrikes on Yemeni soil. Israel has shown restraint post-interceptions, with no confirmed strikes in recent weeks despite vows of response; upcoming Houthi actions or diplomatic signals from Tehran could tip escalation risks before late May deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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