Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 13일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
5월 13일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
19°C 100.0%
14°C 이하 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 거래량
$17,733 거래량
2026.05.13
14°C 이하
아니오
15°C
아니오
16°C
아니오
17°C
아니오
18°C
아니오
19°C
예
20°C
아니오
21°C
아니오
22°C
아니오
23°C
아니오
24°C 이상
아니오
19°C 100.0%
14°C 이하 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 거래량
$17,733 거래량
2026.05.13
14°C 이하
$1,780 거래량
아니오
15°C
$1,114 거래량
아니오
16°C
$989 거래량
아니오
17°C
$1,007 거래량
아니오
18°C
$2,583 거래량
아니오
19°C
$4,663 거래량
예
20°C
$2,619 거래량
아니오
21°C
$1,349 거래량
아니오
22°C
$773 거래량
아니오
23°C
$521 거래량
아니오
24°C 이상
$334 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$17,733종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,733종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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