Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban core across Detroit and Wayne County, where recent general election results have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar secured the seat in 2024 with over 68 percent of the vote, and the upcoming August 4 primary features multiple Democratic contenders without signs of an unusually divisive contest that could weaken the nominee. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration, producing limited general election competition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though developments such as a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer, or an unforeseen national shift in turnout patterns could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,598 거래량
$35,598 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
1%
$35,598 거래량
$35,598 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$22,349 거래량
95%
공화당
$13,249 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban core across Detroit and Wayne County, where recent general election results have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar secured the seat in 2024 with over 68 percent of the vote, and the upcoming August 4 primary features multiple Democratic contenders without signs of an unusually divisive contest that could weaken the nominee. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration, producing limited general election competition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though developments such as a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer, or an unforeseen national shift in turnout patterns could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$35,598종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban core across Detroit and Wayne County, where recent general election results have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar secured the seat in 2024 with over 68 percent of the vote, and the upcoming August 4 primary features multiple Democratic contenders without signs of an unusually divisive contest that could weaken the nominee. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration, producing limited general election competition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though developments such as a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer, or an unforeseen national shift in turnout patterns could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$35,598종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt rooted in its urban core across Detroit and Wayne County, where recent general election results have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar secured the seat in 2024 with over 68 percent of the vote, and the upcoming August 4 primary features multiple Democratic contenders without signs of an unusually divisive contest that could weaken the nominee. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration, producing limited general election competition. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though developments such as a primary upset producing a polarizing nominee, a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic standard-bearer, or an unforeseen national shift in turnout patterns could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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