Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban Detroit core and consistent voting patterns, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Shri Thanedar benefits from name recognition and fundraising despite a contested August 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney. Republican candidates face structural barriers in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Democrats incorporates these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major scandal, health issue, or late national shift that could elevate GOP turnout or depress Democratic participation in this heavily partisan seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$41,957 거래량
$41,957 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
1%
$41,957 거래량
$41,957 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$24,608 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$17,349 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban Detroit core and consistent voting patterns, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Shri Thanedar benefits from name recognition and fundraising despite a contested August 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney. Republican candidates face structural barriers in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Democrats incorporates these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major scandal, health issue, or late national shift that could elevate GOP turnout or depress Democratic participation in this heavily partisan seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$41,957종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban Detroit core and consistent voting patterns, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Shri Thanedar benefits from name recognition and fundraising despite a contested August 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney. Republican candidates face structural barriers in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Democrats incorporates these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major scandal, health issue, or late national shift that could elevate GOP turnout or depress Democratic participation in this heavily partisan seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$41,957종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban Detroit core and consistent voting patterns, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+22 and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Shri Thanedar benefits from name recognition and fundraising despite a contested August 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney. Republican candidates face structural barriers in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 96.8% for Democrats incorporates these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent a major scandal, health issue, or late national shift that could elevate GOP turnout or depress Democratic participation in this heavily partisan seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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