Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 81% for North Carolina's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by his 59.6% victory in 2024 and unopposed advancement through the March 3, 2026, Republican primary, signaling strong party unity and incumbency advantage in an R+10 Cook PVI district redrawn in October 2025 to favor conservatives. Democratic nominee Colby Watson, who narrowly won a contested primary with 47.9%, faces significant fundraising and name recognition hurdles against Harris's established profile. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican, with no recent polls indicating a competitive contest; key factors include historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles and low Democratic primary turnout. The race awaits the November 3 general election, where late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,368 거래량
$12,368 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
13%
$12,368 거래량
$12,368 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,414 거래량
85%
Democratic Party
$7,954 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 81% for North Carolina's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by his 59.6% victory in 2024 and unopposed advancement through the March 3, 2026, Republican primary, signaling strong party unity and incumbency advantage in an R+10 Cook PVI district redrawn in October 2025 to favor conservatives. Democratic nominee Colby Watson, who narrowly won a contested primary with 47.9%, faces significant fundraising and name recognition hurdles against Harris's established profile. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican, with no recent polls indicating a competitive contest; key factors include historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles and low Democratic primary turnout. The race awaits the November 3 general election, where late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$12,368종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 81% for North Carolina's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by his 59.6% victory in 2024 and unopposed advancement through the March 3, 2026, Republican primary, signaling strong party unity and incumbency advantage in an R+10 Cook PVI district redrawn in October 2025 to favor conservatives. Democratic nominee Colby Watson, who narrowly won a contested primary with 47.9%, faces significant fundraising and name recognition hurdles against Harris's established profile. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican, with no recent polls indicating a competitive contest; key factors include historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles and low Democratic primary turnout. The race awaits the November 3 general election, where late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,368종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 81% for North Carolina's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by his 59.6% victory in 2024 and unopposed advancement through the March 3, 2026, Republican primary, signaling strong party unity and incumbency advantage in an R+10 Cook PVI district redrawn in October 2025 to favor conservatives. Democratic nominee Colby Watson, who narrowly won a contested primary with 47.9%, faces significant fundraising and name recognition hurdles against Harris's established profile. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican, with no recent polls indicating a competitive contest; key factors include historical GOP margins exceeding 50% in recent cycles and low Democratic primary turnout. The race awaits the November 3 general election, where late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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