Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with a wide margin over challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th district. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Willamette Valley and coast, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles due to population centers in Lane and Benton counties, though rural areas like Douglas County remain more Republican-leaning. Hoyle's 2024 reelection with 51.7% reflected this composition, and her incumbency, prior state legislative experience, and established fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the general election. These elements align with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current levels, while the Republican nominee faces the typical challenges of competing in a district with this partisan profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트OR-04 House Election Winner
OR-04 House Election Winner
$13,409 거래량
$13,409 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$13,409 거래량
$13,409 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$9,631 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$3,778 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with a wide margin over challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th district. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Willamette Valley and coast, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles due to population centers in Lane and Benton counties, though rural areas like Douglas County remain more Republican-leaning. Hoyle's 2024 reelection with 51.7% reflected this composition, and her incumbency, prior state legislative experience, and established fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the general election. These elements align with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current levels, while the Republican nominee faces the typical challenges of competing in a district with this partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$13,409종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with a wide margin over challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th district. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Willamette Valley and coast, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles due to population centers in Lane and Benton counties, though rural areas like Douglas County remain more Republican-leaning. Hoyle's 2024 reelection with 51.7% reflected this composition, and her incumbency, prior state legislative experience, and established fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the general election. These elements align with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current levels, while the Republican nominee faces the typical challenges of competing in a district with this partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,409종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026, primary with a wide margin over challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Republican nominee Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th district. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Willamette Valley and coast, has leaned Democratic in recent cycles due to population centers in Lane and Benton counties, though rural areas like Douglas County remain more Republican-leaning. Hoyle's 2024 reelection with 51.7% reflected this composition, and her incumbency, prior state legislative experience, and established fundraising provide structural advantages ahead of the general election. These elements align with trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current levels, while the Republican nominee faces the typical challenges of competing in a district with this partisan profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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