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icon for Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce
Polityka·Brazylia

Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce

icon for Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce
Polityka·Brazylia

Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce

Flávio Bolsonaro 86%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7.1%

Renan Santos 5.5%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Polymarket

$4,887,212 Wol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 86%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 7.1%

Renan Santos 5.5%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Polymarket

$4,887,212 Wol.

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$298,633 Wol.

86%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$265,238 Wol.

7%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$1,116,136 Wol.

6%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$364,079 Wol.

1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$126,945 Wol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$148,914 Wol.

<1%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$313,888 Wol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$744,547 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$110,100 Wol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$70,958 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$207,897 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$139,010 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$681,921 Wol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$162,831 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$79,640 Wol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$20,972 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$35,504 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote because recent polls consistently place him well ahead of other non-Lula candidates, typically in the low-to-mid 30s percent range behind the incumbent’s 38-41 percent. As the Liberal Party nominee and the candidate explicitly endorsed by his imprisoned father Jair Bolsonaro, he has consolidated most right-wing support while rivals such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Minor setbacks from June audio leaks and a temporary family rift with Michelle Bolsonaro were followed by public reconciliation and continued polling stability through mid-August. The two-round system and fragmented opposition field reinforce trader expectations that Flávio will finish a clear second on election night.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$4,887,212
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the market for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote because recent polls consistently place him well ahead of other non-Lula candidates, typically in the low-to-mid 30s percent range behind the incumbent’s 38-41 percent. As the Liberal Party nominee and the candidate explicitly endorsed by his imprisoned father Jair Bolsonaro, he has consolidated most right-wing support while rivals such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Minor setbacks from June audio leaks and a temporary family rift with Michelle Bolsonaro were followed by public reconciliation and continued polling stability through mid-August. The two-round system and fragmented opposition field reinforce trader expectations that Flávio will finish a clear second on election night.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$4,887,212
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 17 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Flávio Bolsonaro" z 86%, za nim "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" z 7%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 86¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 86% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce" wygenerował $4.9 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 11, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce", przeglądaj 17 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce" jest "Flávio Bolsonaro" z 86%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 86% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" z 7%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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