Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$96,251 Wol.
$96,251 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$96,251 Wol.
$96,251 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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