Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daytime high near 32°C on May 18, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible late in the day, creating modest uncertainty that keeps market-implied probabilities clustered between 30°C and 32°C. Model runs from regional meteorological services show slight variations in cloud cover timing and rainfall onset, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if showers arrive earlier. Historical May climatology places average highs around 28–30°C, so the current setup reflects warmer-than-normal conditions driven by a persistent southerly flow, yet afternoon convection remains a key variable that could shift the observed maximum. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 12–18 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 18?
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 16%
NOWE
$13,698 Wol.
NOWE
$13,698 Wol.
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 16%
NOWE
$13,698 Wol.
NOWE
$13,698 Wol.
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
$1,643 Wol.
1%
27°C
$1,151 Wol.
1%
28°C
$818 Wol.
11%
29°C
$1,158 Wol.
16%
30°C
$769 Wol.
25%
31°C
$1,169 Wol.
26%
32°C
$1,102 Wol.
22%
33°C
$973 Wol.
5%
34°C
$1,204 Wol.
2%
35°C
$732 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,978 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daytime high near 32°C on May 18, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible late in the day, creating modest uncertainty that keeps market-implied probabilities clustered between 30°C and 32°C. Model runs from regional meteorological services show slight variations in cloud cover timing and rainfall onset, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if showers arrive earlier. Historical May climatology places average highs around 28–30°C, so the current setup reflects warmer-than-normal conditions driven by a persistent southerly flow, yet afternoon convection remains a key variable that could shift the observed maximum. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 12–18 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,698Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daytime high near 32°C on May 18, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible late in the day, creating modest uncertainty that keeps market-implied probabilities clustered between 30°C and 32°C. Model runs from regional meteorological services show slight variations in cloud cover timing and rainfall onset, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if showers arrive earlier. Historical May climatology places average highs around 28–30°C, so the current setup reflects warmer-than-normal conditions driven by a persistent southerly flow, yet afternoon convection remains a key variable that could shift the observed maximum. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 12–18 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$13,698Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daytime high near 32°C on May 18, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible late in the day, creating modest uncertainty that keeps market-implied probabilities clustered between 30°C and 32°C. Model runs from regional meteorological services show slight variations in cloud cover timing and rainfall onset, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if showers arrive earlier. Historical May climatology places average highs around 28–30°C, so the current setup reflects warmer-than-normal conditions driven by a persistent southerly flow, yet afternoon convection remains a key variable that could shift the observed maximum. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 12–18 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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