Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) Kaisaniemi station—the authoritative source for Helsinki temperatures—confirm a peak of 14°C early on May 14, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that suppressed further warming. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining to 10–12°C by afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from FMI and ECMWF indicating no rebound potential as solar heating wanes. This positions trader sentiment at virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for 14°C as the daily high, consistent with cool May climatology where averages hover near 15°C but variability arises from Baltic Sea influences. Realistic challenges are slim: only a post hoc revision from FMI or outlier reading from a secondary station like Helsinki-Vantaa could shift it, pending final daily report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 14?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$85,470 Wol.
$85,470 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$85,470 Wol.
$85,470 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) Kaisaniemi station—the authoritative source for Helsinki temperatures—confirm a peak of 14°C early on May 14, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that suppressed further warming. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining to 10–12°C by afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from FMI and ECMWF indicating no rebound potential as solar heating wanes. This positions trader sentiment at virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for 14°C as the daily high, consistent with cool May climatology where averages hover near 15°C but variability arises from Baltic Sea influences. Realistic challenges are slim: only a post hoc revision from FMI or outlier reading from a secondary station like Helsinki-Vantaa could shift it, pending final daily report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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