Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport today, driven by a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, moderate solar insolation, and light southerly winds advecting milder Atlantic air across southern Finland. These conditions align with the market-implied 59.5% probability for 16°C and 31.5% for 17°C, modestly above the climatological May high of 14–15°C. Minor uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing keep 17°C in play while capping higher outcomes, with fresh model runs and real-time observations through peak heating hours expected to refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 17?
16°C 60%
17°C 33%
18°C 8.1%
19°C or higher <1%
$28,500 Wol.
$28,500 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
60%
17°C
33%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 60%
17°C 33%
18°C 8.1%
19°C or higher <1%
$28,500 Wol.
$28,500 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
60%
17°C
33%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKRecent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport today, driven by a high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, moderate solar insolation, and light southerly winds advecting milder Atlantic air across southern Finland. These conditions align with the market-implied 59.5% probability for 16°C and 31.5% for 17°C, modestly above the climatological May high of 14–15°C. Minor uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing keep 17°C in play while capping higher outcomes, with fresh model runs and real-time observations through peak heating hours expected to refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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